← Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.0%
avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1451
· median 1451
· range 1451–1451
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1252
Q3 1449
1511
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Astra Ranger | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.4 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
